Migrant Insider

Migrant Insider

Kalshi Wants You to Bet on How Many People ICE Abducts Today

A CFTC filing obtained by Migrant Insider shows the exchange quietly built a market that lets traders wager on ICE's daily arrest count with three confidential appendices the public never saw.

Pablo Manríquez
Jul 21, 2026
∙ Paid

WASHINGTON — Zero to one hundred thousand. That’s the range Kalshi built into a federal filing nine days before Donald Trump’s inauguration — a sliding scale of human arrests, priced in pennies, that traders could bet on one day at a time.

This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2026 Migrant Insider LLC · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture